Will electricity imbalances hit a record high this summer?

According to Energy Press, the electricity imbalance reached 20,000 MW in the summer of 2024. The peak demand for electricity consumption in the summer of last year was recorded at 79,872 MW on August 7.
This year, the peak is expected to reach an unprecedented 85,000 MW, and given that the maximum practical electricity production, including imports and all production capacities, is about 65,000 MW, a repeat of the 20,000 MW imbalance is the minimum and optimistic scenario for this summer’s imbalance.
Today, Sadegh Ziaian, head of the Forecast Center of the National Meteorological Organization, in an interview with the Ministry of Energy’s information website, announced an increase of up to 2 degrees in temperatures this spring and summer compared to the long-term average, saying: “Our prediction is that this spring and summer, the average temperature of the country will be one to two degrees warmer than normal. Normal means the long-term average temperature of 30 years. Of course, this number is different in different regions of the country, but on average, we will have such an increase at the national level.”