How should the oil industry development model be?
According to Energy Press, the Ministry of Oil needs a multi-faceted development model that, along with the minister himself, other elements should also agree on a common literature in an economic and even social interaction calculated to resolve the conflicts in the government body and other governing bodies. It is a difficult path that a single minister, even the oil minister, cannot handle because it requires serious coordination between ministries and executive and political bodies. The success of the Ministry of Oil to overcome the conflicts depends above all on the coordination of the government and if the priority of the economic decision-making body in the country is focused on solving the conflicts in the field of energy, we can hope for its success.
The Minister of Oil, if not the most important economic minister of the country, but he is definitely one of the most important ministers that the parliament and the people will pay special attention to, and it requires special attention that a powerful plan has been written based on the realities of the oil industry, and he believes in it and follows it. be the path he has drawn on the first day. Regarding the 7th Development Plan, programming for the Ministry of Oil is not so easy because the minister must stick to things that are sometimes beyond his control and it will take years to achieve these goals. The percentage of success of the five-year plans in the past years is an important sign that It should not be underestimated. The situation is the same in the oil sector, and in a situation where there are deep disagreements and it is necessary to think about it. We all know that paying attention to gas reserves is a priority and if we do not reach South Pars, the situation will get worse. This one sentence means paying attention to South Pars and similar reserves is synonymous with an investment of nearly 40 billion dollars in the coming years. A figure that is most likely beyond the power of the Ministry of Oil, even in a situation where a similar amount should be invested in oil. Petrochemical and refining also have the same situation and they all need investment. All these figures are not supposed to be provided from the sources of the Ministry of Oil, but the power of the economy in Iran is not enough to provide all these needs from domestic sources. There is no attractive news about foreign investment and no miracles will happen in the short term, including political openings, so we are facing difficulties that must be realistically addressed. It seems that the problem of the Ministry of Oil is not in the Ministry itself, but there are other places that will affect the protests more than the performance of the Ministry of Oil.
Meanwhile, Iran’s economy is based on hydrocarbon energy reserves, even the steel industry or similar industries; The failure of this ministry means that the country’s industrial wheel will not turn properly. At first, it is better to focus on other sectors that affect oil, then enter into fundamental discussions about the plan of the Ministry of Oil. Energy imbalance is triggered by the path of maximum consumption, not production. Industries in the country are planned as if they have to move in a race to absorb energy even with acceptable efficiency. This issue is not a weakness, but a fact because once this approach was the strategy of nano-strategies that industries were necessarily encouraged towards. Gas is the most important energy carrier of the country, which can be the basis of many industries. Petrochemical or steel as the two main currency-earning industries of the country are both based on gas. Fuel, meaning household heating, is supplied mainly with gas, and the majority of villages in Iran have also been supplied with gas. Of course, these items are the first pillar of the oil minister’s proposed plans, which have been rightly mentioned. Now, if we send a person as the oil minister to fight all the conflicts and we expect him to write life-giving prescriptions for all the bottlenecks that have deepened step by step over the years and miraculously take revolutionary measures to resolve all the conflicts in the energy field; Not only is it not possible, but such an expectation would not be fair either.
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